Leana Wen is quite controversial
Random discussion of Covid-19 not specifically related to restaurants or food
Do you think they’re not overcounting?
I have read so much about over- or undercounting cases, hospitalization and death from both sides of the argument that I think that it is very hard to come to a clear conclusion as there are many technical details which are important and can be seen in different ways from both sides. Overall, just a personal opinion, I think we more likely undercount.
If they’re counting every person who died of a car crash or gunshot injury just because they had a positive Covid test, it’s surely a gross overcount.
Wastewater is way down in LA too.
Community and hospital stats continued their decline in the SF Bay Area and LA County last week.
CDC data was pretty much the same this past week as the week before. Slight uptick but I don’t think statistically significant.
CDC data for the SF Bay Area and LA county again pretty much the same as the previous two weeks.
The most rigorous and comprehensive analysis of scientific studies conducted on the efficacy of masks for reducing the spread of respiratory illnesses—including Covid-19—was published late last month. Its conclusions, said Tom Jefferson, the Oxford epidemiologist who is its lead author, were unambiguous. “There is just no evidence that they”—masks—“make any difference,” he told the journalist Maryanne Demasi. “Full stop.”
Oh really? Unambiguous, you say? Let’s fact-check that.
The high risk of bias in the trials, variation in outcome measurement, and relatively low adherence with the interventions during the studies hampers drawing firm conclusions. … There is uncertainty about the effects of face masks. The low to moderate certainty of evidence means our confidence in the effect estimate is limited, and that the true effect may be different from the observed estimate of the effect.
We are really talking about science with Bret Stephens who doesn’t even believe in climate change…
“… relatively low adherence with the interventions during the studies hampers drawing firm conclusions.” says all you need to know about that study - if people didn’t wear masks consistently then …
No significant change in the CDC’s stats for the Bay Area or LA County last week.
On the other hand, personally I know more people who’ve gotten Covid in the past few weeks than at any other time except maybe for the Omicron spike at the end of 2021. One friend (fully vaccinated and boosted) got it twice in three months.
Significant uptick last week in SF, Alameda, and particularly Contra Costa counties. San Mateo and Santa Clara flat, same for Los Angeles.
SF Bay Area and LA stats down slightly from last week, so seems like the uptick was just a blip.
Stats down slightly again this week.
The Economist maintains what is probably the single best database of global excess mortality throughout the pandemic, and the enormously wide range of its China estimate is telling — we simply know much less about the ultimate cost of the disease there than in almost any other country. But the very highest end of The Economist’s estimate for China, 220 excess deaths per 100,000, represents a pandemic death toll that is barely half the very lowest end of the U.S. estimate, 390 deaths per 100,000. If you take the median estimate for each country, the American per capita death toll would be four times as high. Which is to say that, to judge by excess mortality, if China failed the pandemic, the United States failed four times as hard.